Three reasons to consider focusing on quality and dividend yields to potentially maximize total returns
Why Now?
Outperformed Broad Market Index: The intersection of high quality and high dividend stocks outperformed year to date (YTD) and in the trailing 1 year. Defensive positioning helped in those periods as well. Dividend Yield has been the best performing factor in the YTD and trailing 1-year period.
Dividends Expected to Contribute a Greater Portion of Total Return: Given low total return forecasts, we expect dividends to provide a stable return source to investors. Relative to bond yields, high dividend-payers offer yield and the potential for capital appreciation. Stocks may be better able to absorb unexpected increases in inflation.
Diversification of Income: Interestingly, now that fixed income yields have risen relative to equity dividend yields, investors now consider equity yield as a diversifier.
Annualized Returns as of 11/30/2012-12/31/2023
Quality & Dividend Yield | Quality (Q1) | Dividend Yield (Q1) | Russell 1000 |
---|---|---|---|
15.46% | 12.74% | 13.34% | 12.39% |
Source: Bloomberg and Northern Trust Qualitative Research, Compustat, Barra. Factor returns are defined as the equally weighted top or bottom 20% of the Russell 1000 index. Ranking is based on exposure to factor as defined by Barra, Northern Trust (Quality) and Dividend Yield. Factors are winsorized to remove extreme 5% of outliers. Data from 11/30/2012-12/30/2022. Q1 represents the first quintile. A quintile is a statistical value of a data set that represents 20% of a given population, so the first quintile represents the lowest fifth of the data (1% to 20%). Past performance is not indicative or a guarantee of future results. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. It is not possible to invest directly in any index.
DEFINITIONS
Beta is a statistical measure of the volatility, or sensitivity, of rates of return on a portfolio or security compared to a market index.
Bond Yield is the annual rate of return on a bond, expressed as a percentage of the bondholder’s invested capital.
Dividend Yield is the dividend weighting or screening can identify stocks that have the potential to deliver solid and consistent dividend income or dividend growth. While there are no guarantees that a company will continuously pay or increase its dividend, this factor is often tied in with the quality factor.
Equity Yield is the required rate of return on equity capital.
Quality utilizes the Northern Trust approach that attempts to measure companies that have sustainable competitive advantages and have generated sustainable shareholder value over time. We do this through a process called the Dividend Quality Score (DQS), which seeks to assess the sustainability of pay outs by measuring characteristics including strong profitability, consistent and strong levels of cash flows, and prudent deployment of capital by an efficient management team.
Alpha is the excess return of an investment relative to the return of a benchmark index.
Russell 1000 Index is an index of approximately 1,000 of the largest companies in the U.S. equity market.
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